Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA, Mount Bakewell Area

Mon 09/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

3184 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

3.8m/s 745 ft/min

Temperature

41 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 9.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

90km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 40kph gusting to 54kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 09/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

3345 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.97m/s 778 ft/min

Temperature

41 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 7.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 10.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 40kph gusting to 54kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 09/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 54kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

338 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.31m/s 257 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 25.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

22km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 58kph gusting to 63kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 09/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(S) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.51m/s 100 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 24.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

9.75km downwind XC or 1.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 29kph gusting to 31kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Tue 10/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

353 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

1.31m/s 257 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 19.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

21km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 50kph gusting to 55kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Tue 10/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.66m/s 129 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 20.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

18km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 25kph gusting to 27kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Tue 10/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

20%

Updraft Velocity

0.87m/s 171 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 20.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

19km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 32kph gusting to 35kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Tue 10/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

211 m Too Low for good distance XC. Local flights possible.

Thermal Quality

10%

Updraft Velocity

0.46m/s 90 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 19.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

10.25km downwind XC or 0.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 47kph gusting to 49kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Wed 11/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

872 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48.75km downwind XC or 7.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 36kph gusting to 44kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Wed 11/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1060 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 32kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 11/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1276 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.61m/s 512 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 32kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 100%.


 

Wed 11/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1230 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.1m/s 412 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 36kph gusting to 44kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Thu 12/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1059 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.54m/s 498 ft/min

Temperature

20 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 29kph gusting to 38kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 12/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1248 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.77m/s 543 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 25kph gusting to 35kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 12/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1346 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.65m/s 519 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 25kph gusting to 35kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 12/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1316 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.09m/s 410 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

55.5km downwind XC or 15 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 29kph gusting to 37kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 13/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1151 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 25kph gusting to 34kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 13/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1565 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.96m/s 580 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km downwind XC or 32.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 22kph gusting to 33kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 13/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1661 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.83m/s 555 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km downwind XC or 32.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 22kph gusting to 32kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 13/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1529 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 22kph gusting to 30kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 14/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1566 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.8m/s 549 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

97.2km downwind XC or 32.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 25kph gusting to 35kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 14/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1975 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.16m/s 619 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 11.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 18kph gusting to 29kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 14/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2208 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.04m/s 596 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 9.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 14kph gusting to 25kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 14/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2143 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.29m/s 449 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 11.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 14kph gusting to 22kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 15/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(S) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

954 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.24m/s 439 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 21.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

80km downwind XC or 50 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 7kph gusting to 15kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 58%.


 

Sun 15/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1741 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.95m/s 578 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 16.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 11kph gusting to 22kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 15/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2632 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.2m/s 627 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 9.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 11kph gusting to 23kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 15/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2079 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.32m/s 455 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 15.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 18kph gusting to 26kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 16/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

679 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.16m/s 423 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 20.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

30.75km downwind XC or 1.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 43kph gusting to 51kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Mon 16/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

922 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 22.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

40km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 40kph gusting to 49kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Mon 16/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1181 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 22.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 43kph gusting to 52kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Mon 16/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1163 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2m/s 392 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 21.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

37.8km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 50kph gusting to 57kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Cached copy, generated 11:21