Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA, Mount Bakewell Area

Fri 30/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1498 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.94m/s 576 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 19 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 18kph gusting to 29kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 30/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2978 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.8m/s 745 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 11kph gusting to 25kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 30/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WNW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

2418 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

1.82m/s 357 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 12.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96.525km downwind XC or 52.65 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WNW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 14kph gusting to 21kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 30/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2835 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 9.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 14kph gusting to 24kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

895 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.51m/s 492 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 19.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

47.5km downwind XC or 10 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 32kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1517 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.1m/s 608 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 16.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 29kph gusting to 40kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2457 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.34m/s 655 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 18kph gusting to 30kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 01/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2510 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.57m/s 504 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 9.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 18kph gusting to 27kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1303 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.84m/s 557 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 21 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 10.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNE . The wind on the top launches will be from NNE at 36kph gusting to 46kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2896 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.76m/s 737 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 11kph gusting to 25kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3360 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.61m/s 708 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 4.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

120km downwind XC or 75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 7kph gusting to 20kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 02/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3084 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.49m/s 488 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 7.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

120km downwind XC or 75 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 7kph gusting to 16kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

781 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.35m/s 461 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 22.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

72km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 22kph gusting to 30kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 67%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1493 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 18.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 14kph gusting to 25kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 75%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2309 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.29m/s 645 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 11.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 18kph gusting to 30kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 83%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(S) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2556 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.64m/s 517 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 9.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from S at 18kph gusting to 28kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 83%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

933 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.45m/s 480 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 23.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

87.5km downwind XC or 35 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 18kph gusting to 27kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1815 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.15m/s 617 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 17.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 7kph gusting to 18kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 58%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3030 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.55m/s 696 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 7.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

131.25km downwind XC or 52.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 18kph gusting to 31kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 03/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1548 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 20.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48km downwind XC or 4.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 43kph gusting to 51kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 04/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

812 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.4m/s 470 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 19.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

47.5km downwind XC or 10 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 29kph gusting to 38kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 04/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1302 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.92m/s 572 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 19 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 29kph gusting to 40kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 04/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2033 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.14m/s 615 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 14.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 22kph gusting to 33kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 04/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2348 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 11.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 18kph gusting to 27kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 83%.


 

Thu 05/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1125 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.66m/s 521 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 20.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 25kph gusting to 35kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 05/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2182 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.43m/s 672 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 14.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 18kph gusting to 30kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 05/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2884 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.46m/s 678 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 9.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 14kph gusting to 26kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 05/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2745 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.59m/s 508 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 10.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

110.5km downwind XC or 52 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 14kph gusting to 23kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 06/02/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1562 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.89m/s 566 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 22.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 22kph gusting to 32kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 06/02/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

3821 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

4.07m/s 798 ft/min

Temperature

41 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 2.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

131.25km downwind XC or 52.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 18kph gusting to 33kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 06/02/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

3885 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.75m/s 735 ft/min

Temperature

42 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 3.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

127.5km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 18kph gusting to 32kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 06/02/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

3548 m Great height for flying XC. 10,000ft day!!! Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.74m/s 537 ft/min

Temperature

42 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 6.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

138.75km downwind XC or 37.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 25kph gusting to 35kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.