Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA, Mount Bakewell Area

Fri 09/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1095 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.75m/s 539 ft/min

Temperature

22 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 36kph gusting to 46kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Fri 09/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1335 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

3.01m/s 590 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 32kph gusting to 43kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 81%.


 

Fri 09/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1549 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.82m/s 553 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 32kph gusting to 42kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 100%.


 

Fri 09/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1560 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.33m/s 457 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

46.8km downwind XC or 7.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 36kph gusting to 44kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Sat 10/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1003 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.7m/s 529 ft/min

Temperature

24 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 40kph gusting to 50kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 10/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1295 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.98m/s 584 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 10.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 36kph gusting to 47kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 10/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1555 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.81m/s 551 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 36kph gusting to 46kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 10/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1400 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.14m/s 419 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 16 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

45.6km downwind XC or 9.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 32kph gusting to 40kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 11/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

716 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.3m/s 451 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 20.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

39km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 40kph gusting to 48kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 11/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1681 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.2m/s 627 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 15.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 29kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 11/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2288 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.29m/s 645 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 11.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96.2km downwind XC or 26 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 29kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 11/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2324 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.58m/s 506 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 11.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

74.1km downwind XC or 15.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 32kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 12/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1676 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.13m/s 613 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 20.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 40kph gusting to 51kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 12/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2344 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

3.61m/s 708 ft/min

Temperature

39 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 15.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

65km downwind XC or 6.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 43kph gusting to 56kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 12/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2153 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

3.29m/s 645 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 16.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.95km downwind XC or 3.9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 43kph gusting to 55kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 12/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

652 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.73m/s 339 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 25.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

30km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 40kph gusting to 46kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 13/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(S) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

938 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.53m/s 496 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

85km downwind XC or 40 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from S . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 18kph gusting to 27kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 75%.


 

Tue 13/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1319 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.92m/s 572 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 16.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 18kph gusting to 29kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 13/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1645 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.93m/s 574 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 15.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 18kph gusting to 29kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 13/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SW) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1605 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 17 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 25kph gusting to 33kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

866 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.5m/s 490 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 17.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

63km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 25kph gusting to 34kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 73%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1282 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.92m/s 572 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 17.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 18kph gusting to 29kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 75%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1860 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.05m/s 598 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SE at 14kph gusting to 25kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 92%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1962 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.41m/s 472 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 13.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 14kph gusting to 23kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 92%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1055 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.69m/s 527 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 20.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 36kph gusting to 46kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1935 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.38m/s 662 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 15.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.8km downwind XC or 16.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 32kph gusting to 44kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2798 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.49m/s 684 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

113.75km downwind XC or 45.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 22kph gusting to 35kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

2907 m Great height for flying XC. Warning C Airspace above 8500ft over Bakewell

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.68m/s 525 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 8.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

91km downwind XC or 36.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 22kph gusting to 32kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1391 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.97m/s 582 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 19.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from N . The wind on the top launches will be from N at 29kph gusting to 40kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1672 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.24m/s 635 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 18.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNW . The wind on the top launches will be from NNW at 29kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

2154 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.26m/s 639 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 15.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96.2km downwind XC or 26 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from NW at 29kph gusting to 41kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

857 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.93m/s 378 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 25.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

40km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 40kph gusting to 47kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.

Cached copy, generated 12:08