Wecome to the Muppet Forecast!

WA, Mount Bakewell Area

Tue 13/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1077 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.74m/s 537 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 29kph gusting to 39kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 81%.


 

Tue 13/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1458 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3.11m/s 610 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 12.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.7km downwind XC or 21 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 29kph gusting to 40kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 73%.


 

Tue 13/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1622 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

3m/s 588 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 13.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

79.8km downwind XC or 16.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 32kph gusting to 43kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 96%.


 

Tue 13/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1543 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.38m/s 466 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSE . The wind on the top launches will be from SSE at 36kph gusting to 45kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 25%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1093 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.78m/s 545 ft/min

Temperature

25 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

68.4km downwind XC or 14.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 32kph gusting to 42kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1406 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.07m/s 602 ft/min

Temperature

28 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 13.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 29kph gusting to 40kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1668 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

3.01m/s 590 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 13.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

88.8km downwind XC or 24 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 25kph gusting to 36kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Wed 14/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SE) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1682 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.37m/s 465 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

66.6km downwind XC or 18 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 29kph gusting to 38kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 100%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 22kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1016 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

70%

Updraft Velocity

2.63m/s 515 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

75.6km downwind XC or 25.2 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 25kph gusting to 34kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1984 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.38m/s 662 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 13.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 18kph gusting to 30kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(E) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2315 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.26m/s 639 ft/min

Temperature

35 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 11.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from E . The wind on the top launches will be from E at 11kph gusting to 23kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Thu 15/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ESE) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

2225 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.47m/s 484 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 13.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

107.25km downwind XC or 58.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ESE . The wind on the top launches will be from ESE at 14kph gusting to 23kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 50kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 58kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

894 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

2.55m/s 500 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 25.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

33km downwind XC or 0 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NE at 58kph gusting to 67kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NNE) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 47kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1505 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

3.11m/s 610 ft/min

Temperature

37 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 22 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.2km downwind XC or 2.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NNE . The wind on the top launches will be from NNE at 47kph gusting to 58kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NE) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

extreme

Thermal Height

1590 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

60%

Updraft Velocity

2.91m/s 570 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 22.1 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

70.2km downwind XC or 10.8 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NE . The wind on the top launches will be from NNE at 36kph gusting to 46kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Fri 16/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(ENE) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1821 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

80%

Updraft Velocity

2.18m/s 427 ft/min

Temperature

38 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 19.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

84km downwind XC or 33.6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from ENE . The wind on the top launches will be from ENE at 18kph gusting to 26kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 17/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1042 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.7m/s 529 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 20.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

58.5km downwind XC or 9 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 36kph gusting to 46kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 17/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1252 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.98m/s 584 ft/min

Temperature

32 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 19.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

60km downwind XC or 6 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 43kph gusting to 54kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 17/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 40kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1163 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

2.73m/s 535 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 18.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

49.2km downwind XC or 2.4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 43kph gusting to 53kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sat 17/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(NNE) 43kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

835 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

30%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

27 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 18.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

30km downwind XC or 3 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 43kph gusting to 50kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 18/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1265 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.87m/s 563 ft/min

Temperature

23 C It will be pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 11kph gusting to 21kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 75%.


 

Sun 18/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1601 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.17m/s 621 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 10 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99km downwind XC or 54 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 11kph gusting to 22kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 18/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1783 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.08m/s 604 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 11.2 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 18kph gusting to 29kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Sun 18/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 25kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Winds Aloft

(N) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

high

Thermal Height

1464 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

90%

Updraft Velocity

2.31m/s 453 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 14.4 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

99.9km downwind XC or 27 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 25kph gusting to 33kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 19/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(NW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1015 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.58m/s 506 ft/min

Temperature

26 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 15.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

93km downwind XC or 66 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from NW . The wind on the top launches will be from WNW at 4kph gusting to 13kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 19/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(W) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1451 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.01m/s 590 ft/min

Temperature

30 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 15.5 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from W . The wind on the top launches will be from W at 11kph gusting to 22kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 19/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

light

Thermal Height

1822 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.03m/s 594 ft/min

Temperature

33 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 14.8 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

102km downwind XC or 48 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 14kph gusting to 25kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Mon 19/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 29kph Strong winds, expect rough air, Downwind tasks possible only.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

975 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

50%

Updraft Velocity

2.02m/s 396 ft/min

Temperature

31 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 21.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

48.75km downwind XC or 7.5 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 36kph gusting to 43kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 20/01/2026 1100 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(SSW) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 4kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

829 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

2.36m/s 463 ft/min

Temperature

29 C It will be warm and pleasant on the ground. It will be down to 20.7 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

77.5km downwind XC or 55 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from SSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SSW at 4kph gusting to 12kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 58%.


 

Tue 20/01/2026 1300 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 7kph Light Winds, no turbulence expected.

Winds Aloft

(N) 11kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1570 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.08m/s 604 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 18.3 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

96km downwind XC or 60 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 11kph gusting to 22kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 20/01/2026 1500 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 18kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Winds Aloft

(N) 14kph Moderate winds, light turbulence possible.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

1938 m Great height for flying XC.

Thermal Quality

100%

Updraft Velocity

3.1m/s 608 ft/min

Temperature

36 C It will be very hot on the ground. Stay in the shade and drink plenty of water. Fly with water.It will be down to 16.6 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

105km downwind XC or 42 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from WSW at 18kph gusting to 29kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Tue 20/01/2026 1700 AWS

Wind on the Ground

(WSW) 36kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Winds Aloft

(N) 32kph Dangerous winds! It will be very rough with strong rotor and turbulence.

Vertical Wind Shear:

moderate

Thermal Height

915 m XC Possible but difficult conditions.

Thermal Quality

40%

Updraft Velocity

1.94m/s 380 ft/min

Temperature

34 C It will be hot on the ground. Stay hydrated. It will be down to 24.9 C in the air.

XC Potential (4hrs)

40km downwind XC or 4 km Triangle Possible by Sport Class Pilot.

The wind on the ground will be from WSW . The wind on the top launches will be from SW at 36kph gusting to 43kph In a N () Ridge soaring will be ... probably not a good idea. The chance of it being magic is 0%.


 

Guide

This is aimed primarily at the club level pilot who wants to know what to expect for the next week.

Data is calculated from the GFS model data using the RASP calculations daily.

Wind strengths are graded for aircraft suitability.

Wind speeds are average wind speeds, gusts will be higher.

Conditions are graded for how the average pilot will feel about them.